I sat down
to write a blog on where we are on the road to independence and to be honest, I
am finding it difficult not to duplicate the many blogs I have written on the
subject.
I have been
accused many times of wrongly criticizing the SNP and, in particular, Nicola Sturgeon.
I have honestly tried to look at other alternatives and indeed places to place blame,
because one thing is certain and that is we ( the independence movement) are in
an awful position and the people with the mandate to deliver independence are
the SNP with Nicola Sturgeon at the top.
So, what do
I mean by an awful position? Well here we are, almost 5 years from the last
referendum where we had a campaign lasting around two and a half years, raising
support for independence from 27% to at least 45%, with, (until recently) support
raising only marginally. The reason support increased at all was nothing to do
with any credible independence related initiatives embarked upon by the SNP and
all to do with the actions of the Tory government by way of broken promises and
exposure to the lies and misinformation put out during the last campaign , as
was the increase from 6 to 56 SNP MP’s in the Westminster parliament.
Ever since
the day Nicola took over the leadership of the SNP the cause of independence
has been swept under the carpet. This was very noticeable, even during the
campaign to elect MP’s in the 2015 General Election and in this respect I will
always remember the incident ( related many times before) where we ( the Yes Bus
team and Yes we Care Dundee) were to hold a rally in the City Square of Dundee
the week before the general Election. A week before the rally I had a visit at
my office from Chris Law who at that time was the SNP chosen candidate for the
Dundee West constituency together with his political assistant. I had known
Chris for many years and had , through my workshops , renovated the Spirit of
Independence, a 50 year old ex-Army fire engine that Chris had used on a highly
effective trip around Scotland during the campaign.
The purpose
of Chris’s visit surprised me, as he asked if I could postpone the rally until after
the General election. I couldn’t believe my ears. I said to him “Chris, this is
a pro-independence rally, the SNP’s main function in life is to deliver
independence, you are the SNP candidate for Dundee West, we (the Yes bus team)
campaigned for your adoption as the independence candidate. What is going on?
His next
words almost floored me. He said “Stewart Hosie has said that we can’t have
saltires and Yes signs being waved around the Square the week before a General
Election” I was lost for words.
We did eventually
agree to postpone the rally and what happened next is a story in itself and can
be accessed on the blog, link below, as during the pleas to postpone the rally
I had told Chris and his assistant that as it was so close to the date , there wouldn’t
be enough time to get the necessary permission to hold the rally on the new
date , the week after the General election. I was assured by both there that “it
would be sorted “meaning, the rules would be adjusted to suit their agenda.
In the event, it wasn’t “sorted” and we showed up in the square on the new
date to find that panic had ensued because the gruesome twosome had immediately
forgotten their commitment and had not rearranged the date with the SNP council,
so on the very Morning of the rally the licensing board chairmen had to be
found and signed off the permission there and then. Well the SNP did not
exactly cover themselves in glory in that incident but there was more to come, because
some time later we organized another rally and this was to be the Mother of all
cock ups by the Dundee SNP as they , in their endeavor to spoil it actually
used the excuse that they were refusing permission to hold the march element
because “I had failed to apply for the holding of the previous rally in time”
Yes you just couldn’t make it up straight out of a Blackadder sketch. Read
below the saga of the second rally.
https://wordpress.com/block-editor/post/bobsblog.scot/240
However,
what these incidents told me was that something was amiss in the SNP attitude
to independence and the result of the 2015 General Election which was a massive
56 MP’s returned to Westminster showed just how bad the SNP were at assessing
the feelings and mood of the people which put the comment by Stewart Hosie” we
can’t have saltires and yes singes being waved around the square” firmly in
the context of the SNP not really knowing what they were doing. I think it is true to say that the 56 MP’s
sent down to Westminster was not because of the SNP but despite them.
This has been
followed by a catalogue of misread, confusing and miscalculated strategy over
the last. almost 5 years manifesting itself in every election since, showing a
drop in support for the SNP, with the snap General Election in 2017 returning a
massive loss of half a million votes for the SNP. The only way the SNP could ameliorate
this loss of confidence was by announcing some independence initiative or other
weeks before each election. Every single promise, subsequently to be
backtracked on until another election loomed.
We have had statements
from Nicola, like the people will tell us when we are ready for another
referendum, without actually explaining what is involved in telling her, so the
people carried out mass rallies. This being the only way they could make their
voice heard. Unfortunately, Nicola was selectively deaf and soon stopped asking
for the people’s voice to be heard as it was apparently telling her something
she did not want to hear.
These
rallies were scantily supported by SNP politicians who, on a few occasions made
cursory appearances and indeed we in the yes Bus team were subject to a campaign
of vilification for having the audacity to hold a rally in Dundee (the yes city)
and invite Tommy Sheridan to speak. This campaign set up by members and officers
of the Dundee West SNP office. We had several incidents of obstruction of independence
rallies by the SNP council on an ongoing basis.
At no time
did Nicola Sturgeon appear at any of the rallies nor did she offer any kind of
support even by way of a simple good luck message. Not a single mark of respect
or support. This in marked contrast to her support for gay events, going as far
as to lead one of these gay parades in London. I really do not see why she should
put her own sexual orientation before her job by using her position to champion
causes out with her remit as both leader of the SNP ( party of independence)
and First minister of Scotland before showing support for what should be the
SNP’s raison d’etre.
We have had
the spectacle that was the Scottish Act 2016 played out in parliament where
something like 80 amendments were put forward by the SNP and almost every single
one of them ignominiously voted down out of hand. We have had numerous occasions
of Scotland being sidelined and humiliated in Westminster like the EVEL laws
brought in by subterfuge, meaning the no Scottish member of parliament could even
debate a law concerning England, a country we subsidize. All this and much more
and still no move towards another referendum or other form of determination of
the will of the Scottish people.
Then of
course we had the referendum on the EU, something we were told during the
independence campaign was not going to happen and the only way of guaranteeing remaining
in the EU was to vote no. Scotland voted by 62% to 38% to remain but we are to
be dragged out against our will, and still no move by Nicola to even prepare
for another referendum, not only that but Nicola has made it quite clear that she
is just not interested in going down any other rout than obtaining a section 30
from Westminster . This is a pre-arrangement that the result of a referendum
will be honored. Since 1939 there has been 66 countries which have gained their
independence from the British Empire and not a single one has had anything
resembling a section 30. No, if a country wants independence it takes it under
its own volition. Why has the SNP not put provision for this in place? In fact,
why have they not made any sort of effort to prepare for an assessment of the
will of the people?
Ever since
Nicola took over the leadership the SNP have done nothing credible to forward
the cause of independence and I am taking into account the flawed report by
Andrew Wilsons Growth commission which came away with recommendations that
would have tied us to the UK for at least 10 years. Simply ridiculous.
It appears
to me that Nicola’s main efforts have been to save the UK and not to gain
independence for Scotland this to my mind was made very plain in her so called answer
to the vote on leaving the EU. I wrote a blog the day before the paper was due
to be published titled “A Road Map to Unionism” and another blog the day it was
published titled “I Told You So” Here are the links.
https://wordpress.com/block-editor/post/bobsblog.scot/2182
https://wordpress.com/block-editor/post/bobsblog.scot/2188
This was
indeed a road map to unionism and Nicola has been pursuing this for a long time
.
Just because
the SNP have not been pursuing independence diligently does not mean our adversaries
have not either , no, on the contrary they have never stopped and now it is
getting to the stage that the Westminster establishment are seriously worried about
Scotland becoming independent as they realize that the subterfuge regarding Scotland’s
dependency on England has been seen through for what it was and now they are
doing something about it , evidenced by the large capacity civil service
building at Haymarket to house UK civil service and the speech from the
departing failure of a Prim Minister making a pretty thinly vailed threat to
devolution.
Yes, because
of SNP inaction to get a campaign going or to take advantage of the many opportunities
to call a referendum, the SNP have allowed the UK to put in place a mechanism
for the dismantling of the devolution settlement, meanwhile Nicola fiddles
while Scotland burns.
As regards to
a way to achieve independence and Nicolas gift to the UK by making it clear
that she will not consider any other way except by a section 30. Well a section
30 is not actually required by any country who wishes through the majority of its
people to become an independent nation.
The UN
charter of self-determination makes this very clear.
The right of a people to self-determination is a cardinal principle in modern international law, binding, as such, on the United Nations as authoritative interpretation of the Charter’s norms. It states that people, based on respect for the principle of equal rights and fair equality of opportunity, have the right to freely choose their sovereignty and international political status with no interference.
That makes
it very clear that there is a simple rout to independence and there is no
constriction to this in the devolution settlement. Even if there was then in
international law this supersedes this and remember, the UK is a member of the
UN.
The process
would be this, first we have to determine the will of the people and that can
be done in two ways. A referendum, of which there is no impediment in the
devolution settlement or constitution (no written constitution anyway) to stop
this happening as apposed to the situation in Catalan where there was a
condition in the constitution to prevent an unauthorized referendum. Or there
can be an election where the SNP went on a one issue manifesto, that of
independence. If a majority was gained in one of these ways, then independence
could be declared, and negotiations opened with the UK regarding the split of
assets borders etc. At the same time countries would be encouraged to recognize
an independent Scotland and I know of at least 27 who would no doubt be ready
to do that.
Now, why this has never been explained by the SNP is a mystery, it is almost like they do not want independence and remember many people have loaned the SNP their vote to gain independence and will thereafter go back to their natural elegance as Scottish Tories, Scottish Labour or Scottish Lib Dems . Could it be that the SNP realize that and wish to hold on to the power they have at present by continually dangling the carrot in front of the electorate?
The SNP must wake up or they will be responsible for the biggest political disaster ever in Scotland because the unionists are becoming desperate, more so with the prospect of a no deal Brexit happening as they could not survive without Scotland’s assets.
Nicola
Sturgeon is sleep walking into Scotland’s Armageddon